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Steve Emerson, Backing King Hearings, Pushes Misleading Statistic on Muslim Terrorism

UPDATE: Steve Emerson, who is criticized in the post below, sent in a lengthy statement last night in response to a request for comment submitted by the writer earlier in the week. It can be found in the comments at the end of the story.

The day before U.S. Rep. Peter King (R-N.Y.) convened the first round of his on the radicalization of American Muslims, the nonprofit Investigative Project on Terrorism (IPT) released what certainly seemed to be a sobering statistic. 鈥淢ore than 80 percent of all convictions tied to international terrorist groups and homegrown terrorism since 9/11 involved defendants driven by a radical Islamist agenda,鈥 IPT said in the opening lines of the March 9 statement on its website. 鈥淭hough Muslims represent about 1 percent of the American population, they constitute defendants in 186 of the 228 cases DOJ lists.鈥

These claims, while not exactly going viral, nevertheless were quickly picked up by the political right. Anti-Muslim firebrand , executive director of Stop Islamization of America (which is listed by the Southern Poverty Law Center as an ), went on Eric Bolling鈥檚 FOX Business program 鈥淔ollow the Money鈥 on the evening of King鈥檚 hearings. 鈥淎s we witnessed in the recent study released by [IPT Executive Director] Steve Emerson,鈥 she said, 鈥渨here we saw that over 80% of the attacks since 9/11 were Islamic in nature, so there is a problem.鈥

But it really isn鈥檛 so.

IPT鈥檚 statistics, clearly intended to justify King鈥檚 decision to focus only on the threat of homegrown Muslim terrorists , mischaracterized the source material it analyzed from the U.S. Department of Justice (DOJ) 鈥 and then drew a meaningless conclusion from its own flawed analysis. While Emerson didn鈥檛 flatly misstate most of the facts, IPT鈥檚 characterization of those facts 鈥 especially its second sentence, comparing the percentage of American Muslims with the percentage of Muslim defendants in terror cases listed by the DOJ 鈥 was essentially a propaganda ploy meant to hype the domestic Muslim threat.

Here鈥檚 the reality.

The list that IPT was working from was drawn up by DOJ to satisfy a specific congressional request, according to spokesman Dean Boyd. It was a roster only of cases that were linked to international (not domestic) 鈥渢errorist organizations鈥 that involved an American (as suspect or victim) or American interest, anywhere in the world, that the DOJ was somehow involved in. If the DOJ wasn鈥檛 involved, it didn鈥檛 get counted. If the terrorism wasn鈥檛 linked to an international organization, then it didn鈥檛 get counted. And that rules out virtually all terror coming from the domestic American radical right 鈥 Klansmen, neo-Nazis, antigovernment 鈥淧atriots鈥 and others 鈥 in recent history. The 人兽性交 has documented close to 75 such plots since the 1995 Oklahoma City bombing, but virtually none of them would get on to the list that the IPT chose to focus on. Indeed, it seems obvious that most cases linked to international organizations would by definition be jihadist.

What鈥檚 more, many of the cases listed by the DOJ didn鈥檛 involve terrorist attacks at all, but rather were focused cases like people suspected of raising money for terrorist groups or who allegedly obstructed an investigation into those groups.

That still isn鈥檛 all. In fact, the DOJ listed 403 cases, not the 228 figure that Emerson鈥檚 group mentions. In the remaining 175 cases, the IPT could not determine a suspect鈥檚 motivation, so the IPT simply excluded them from its analysis. Thus, while the IPT claimed that 鈥渕ore than 80%鈥 of the cases DOJ listed involved Muslim defendants, the truth is it really doesn鈥檛 know how many did. Likewise, elsewhere in its release, the IPT claimed that 鈥渁bout 13 percent鈥 of 鈥渢he terror cases鈥 involve 鈥渉omegrown Islamic extremists.鈥 But the raw number of such cases in the DOJ list is 30 鈥 30 out 403, which is 7.4%, not the exaggerated claim of 13%.

The most egregious ploy, and the one that smacks most obviously of big-lie propagandizing, is the way that IPT links, in its second sentence, the percentage of Muslims in the United States to the percentage of convictions of people 鈥渄riven by a radical Islamist agenda鈥 in the DOJ-listed cases. Again, many of the cases on the DOJ list did not involve American defendants at all. The illogical lining up of the two figures 鈥 1% of Americans are Muslims and 80% of convictions in the DOJ cases were of Muslim radicals 鈥斅爄s, in other words, complete nonsense. The numbers are married up simply to defame Muslims as radical jihadists.

Emerson does finally get around, in paragraph 10, to admitting the obvious: 鈥淭he [DOJ] list emphasizes international terror, so groups like the Hutaree militia and eco-terrorists are not included.鈥 And in paragraph 22, IPT concedes: 鈥淭he DOJ list does not demonstrate that vast segments of the Muslim community constitute a threat to carry out terrorist attacks or support groups which do. Assuming a Muslim American population of about 5 million people, the DOJ cases amount to .00004 percent of the community.鈥 But even that calculation includes all 186 suspects, foreign and domestic, supposedly motivated by Islam. To be fair, IPT should have compared only the 30 cases it says were linked to 鈥渉omegrown terror鈥 鈥 thus implicating an even-more infinitesimal fraction of the U.S. Muslim community 鈥撀 .000006%, to be exact. Otherwise, what was the point in comparing that 80% figure with the 1% of Americans are Muslims figure? Simply to defame Muslims, perhaps?

Hatewatch requested comment on these claims in an E-mail to Emerson on Tuesday, but as of this afternoon he had not replied.

Emerson and Congressman Peter King have been close allies 鈥 until the planned March 10 hearings set off a tiff between the two, according to Politico鈥檚 Ben Smith. Apparently, Smith wrote on Jan. 19, Emerson was upset that King intended to take testimony from actual Muslims. Then, Emerson was further aggrieved when King told Politico that Emerson himself wouldn鈥檛 be invited to testify.

鈥淚 have dutifully worked with your staff in trying to help you prepare for these meetings but obviously you don鈥檛 need my input,鈥 a peeved Emerson wrote to King, according to Politico, adding that he had planned to share with King, among other documents, an 鈥渁mazing study鈥 debunking Muslim groups' claims to have assisted law enforcement. Apparently, King and Emerson sufficiently patched up their row so that Emerson released his 鈥渁mazing study鈥 just in time for the hearings.

Writing in the New York Daily News on March 10, under the headline 鈥淢uslim American groups, not Rep. Pete King, are the ones fomenting hysteria with hearings on tap,鈥 Emerson wrote: 鈥淭he figures confirm that there is a disproportionate problem of Islamic militancy and terrorism among the American Muslim population.鈥

Of course, the data show nothing of the sort. But Emerson clearly hopes that merely saying it will make it true.

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